The mediating role of dividend policy in the influence of investment decisions on stock prices
Keywords:
Investment Decision, Dividend Policy, Stock Price, Stock Market, LQ45Abstract
This study investigated the mediating role of dividend policy in the relationship between investment decisions and stock prices among companies listed on the LQ45 Index in Indonesia from 2017 to 2022. Utilizing a sample of 40 companies that remained stable in the index for at least three consecutive years, we conducted regression analyses after ensuring the validity of the data through normality, multicollinearity, and heteroscedasticity tests. The results indicated that investment decisions did not have a significant direct effect on stock prices or dividend policy. However, dividend policy had a significant negative effect on stock prices and mediated the relationship between investment decisions and stock prices. This suggests that while investment decisions alone may not directly influence stock prices, their impact becomes significant when channeled through dividend policy. The findings highlight the importance for companies to strategically manage their dividend policies alongside investment decisions to enhance shareholder value and positively influence stock prices.
Downloads
References
Abebe, D., & Singh, D. (2023). The Relationship Between Emotional Intelligence, Job Satisfaction, and Job Performance: Empirical Evidence From Public Higher Education Institutions. European Journal of Business Management and Research, 8(3), 45–52. https://doi.org/10.24018/ejbmr.2023.8.3.1928
Abor, J., & Bokpin, G. A. (2010). Investment opportunities, corporate finance, and dividend payout policy: Evidence from emerging markets. Studies in Economics and Finance, 27(3), 180–194.
Adrianingtyas, D. A., & Sucipto, A. (2019). Pengaruh kinerja keuangan dan keputusan investasi terhadap nilai perusahaan dengan kebijakan dividen sebagai variabel intervening. JEKPEND: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pendidikan, 2(2), 23.
Achmad, S. L., & Amanah, L. (2014). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan, Kebijakan Dividen, dan Kinerja Keuangan Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan. Jurnal Ilmu & Riset Akuntansi, 3(9).
Akib, M., Nurdin, E., Purnaman, S. M. N., & Anwar, F. (2023). Does Capital Structure, Profitability, and Dividend Policy Improve Stock Prices? International Journal of Professional Business Review, 8(6), e02395. https://doi.org/10.26668/businessreview/2023.v8i6.2395
Brata, A. S., Hidayati, S. A., & Kusmayadi, I. (2023). Pengaruh Faktor Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan dan Kebijakan Dividen Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan pada Perusahaan yang Termasuk dalam Indeks LQ45 Tahun 2017-2021. JMM UNRAM-MASTER OF MANAGEMENT JOURNAL, 12(3), 299–318.
Coccorese, P., & Girardone, C. (2021). Bank capital and profitability: Evidence from a global sample. The European Journal of Finance, 27(9), 827–856.
Dekrijanti, I., Bawono, M., Moelyono, I. W., & Yudiana, Y. V. (2023). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan, dan Kebijakan Dividen Terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Perbankan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Manajemen Mutiara Madani, 11(1), 33–42. https://doi.org/10.59330/ojsmadani.v11i1.148
Dhananjaya, K. (2021). Market Valuation and Corporate Investment in India. Vilakshan – Ximb Journal of Management, 20(1), 42–58. https://doi.org/10.1108/xjm-01-2021-0022
Difah, S. S., & Arfianto, E. D. (2011). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Dividend Payout Ratio Pada Perusahaan Bumn Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode Tahun 2004-2009. Universitas Diponegoro.
Edi, E., & Wati, E. (2022). Measuring Intangible Asset: Firm Reputation. Verslas Teorija Ir Praktika, 23(2), 396–407. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2022.15945
Ekanayake, W. Y. M. M. N., & Indrani, M. W. (2023). Financial Performance and Stock Price: Evidence From Listed Manufacturing Companies in Sri Lanka. International Journal of Accounting and Business Finance, 9(2), 99–122. https://doi.org/10.4038/ijabf.v9i2.144
Farhanah, H., & Mutasowifin, A. (2022). Dampak Pengungkapan Intelektual Capital Terhadap Kinerja Keuangan Dan Harga Saham: Bukti Dari Industri Perbankan Indonesia. Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis Performa, 19(01), 69–82. https://doi.org/10.29313/performa.v19i01.9723
Fitriana, P. M. (2014). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan Dan Profitabilitas Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan: Kebijakan Dividen Sebagai Variabel Intervening. Jurnal Manajemen, Strategi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan.
Gupta, R. (2011). Understanding the relationship of domestic and international factors with stock prices in India: an application of ARCH. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 15(2), 87.
Haque, A., & Naeem, K. (2016). Mispricing, Corporate Investment and Stock Returns: Evidence From Pakistani Stock Market. Research Journal of Applied Sciences Engineering and Technology, 12(10), 988–993. https://doi.org/10.19026/rjaset.12.2817
Hardiningsih, P. (2009). Determinan nilai perusahaan. Jurnal Akuntansi Indonesia, 5(2), 231–250.
Hatane, S. E., Winoto, J., Tarigan, J., & Jie, F. (2022). Working Capital Management and Board Diversity Towards Firm Performances in Indonesia’s LQ45. Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, 13(2), 276–299. https://doi.org/10.1108/jaee-11-2018-0130
Hayaty, S., & Rikumahu, B. (2022). Analysis of the Impact of the Covid-19 Events on Stocks on the LQ45 Index for the January - March 2020 Period. Almana Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 6(1), 51–62. https://doi.org/10.36555/almana.v6i1.1741
Hayes, A. F. (2022). Introduction to Mediation, Moderation, and Conditional Process Analysis: A Regression-Based Approach (Vol. 3). The Guilford Press.
Hermuningsih, S. (2012). Pengaruh profitabilitas, size terhadap nilai perusahaan dengan sruktur modal sebagai variabel intervening. Jurnal Siasat Bisnis, 16(2).
Hussainey, K., Oscar Mgbame, C., & Chijoke‐Mgbame, A. M. (2011). Dividend policy and share price volatility: UK evidence. The Journal of Risk Finance, 12(1), 57–68.
Hutchison, D. E., & Cox, R. A. K. (2007). The causal relationship between bank capital and profitability.
Kanakriyah, R. (2020). Dividend policy and companies’ financial performance. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(10), 531–541.
Kartika, A., Handrijaningsih, L., Tr, S. M., & Anisah, A. (2022). The Effect of Price Earning Ratio, Return O Equity, Debt to Equity Ratio, Firm Size, and Dividend Payout Ratio to the Stock Returns on Banks Listed in LQ45 Index 2015-2020. Ilomata International Journal of Tax and Accounting, 3(4), 435–447. https://doi.org/10.52728/ijtc.v3i4.592
Komala, P. S., Endiana, I. D. M., Kumalasari, P. D., & Rahindayati, N. M. (2021). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Solvabilitas, Likuiditas, Keputusan Investasi Dan Keputusan Pendanaan Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan. KARMA (Karya Riset Mahasiswa Akuntansi), 1(1).
Kurniawati, A., Wiyono, G., & Rinofah, R. (2024). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Likuiditas, dan Profitabilitas Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan dengan Kebijakan Deviden sebagai Variabel Intervening di Sektor Barang Konsumen Primer yang Tercatat di BEI Tahun 2017-2021. Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi, 24(1), 649. https://doi.org/10.33087/jiubj.v24i1.3901
Lee, C.-C., & Hsieh, M.-F. (2013). The impact of bank capital on profitability and risk in Asian banking. Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, 251–281.
Ligocká, M., & Stavarek, D. (2019). The relationship between financial ratios and the stock prices of selected European food companies listed on stock exchanges. Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, 67(1).
Mahirun, M., Jannati, A., Kushermanto, A., & Prasetiani, T. R. (2023). Impact of dividend policy on stock prices. Acta Logistica, 10(2), 199–208. https://doi.org/10.22306/al.v10i2.375
Meryana, M., Junaidi, J., & Sari, A. F. K. (2021). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan, Kebijakan Deviden Dan Tingkat Suku Bunga Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan (Studi Empiris Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2018-2020). E_Jurnal Ilmiah Riset Akuntansi, 10(02).
Mutiarani, N. N., Dewi, R. R., & Suhendro, S. (2019). Pengaruh Price Earning Ratio, Price To Book Value, Dan Inflasi Terhadap Harga Saham Yang Terindeks Idx 30. Jurnal Ilmiah Edunomika, 3(02).
Nisa, R. C. (2017). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi... Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Indonesia, 1, 92–102.
Osborne, M. J. (2010). A resolution to the NPV-IRR debate? The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 50(1), 234-239. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2010.01.002
Pandey, I. M. (2002). Seasonality in the Malaysian Stock Market: 1992-2002. Journal of Financial Management & Analysis, 15(2).
Profilet, K. A. (2013). Dividend policy and stock price volatility in the US equity capital market.
Putri, N., & Budyastuti, T. (2021). The effect of investment decisions, dividend policy and profitability on firm value in the Indonesian manufacturing companies. American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Research (AJHSSR), 5(4), 47–53.
Rahmawati, F. I., & Handayani, S. R. (2017). The influence of good corporate governance practice on the stock price (Study on Company of LQ45 Index in Indonesia stock exchange during 2012-2016). Brawijaya University.
Rahmayanti, K. A., Wardani, L., & Burhanudin, B. (2024). Efek Moderasi Kebijakan Dividen pada Pengaruh Kinerja Keuangan Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Indeks Lq45 yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2018-2022. JMM UNRAM-MASTER OF MANAGEMENT JOURNAL, 13(1), 56–75.
Samasta, A. S., Lestari, S. P., & Arsanda, T. D. (2021). The Analyze of LQ45 Companies Stock Price in 2018-2020. Journal of Management and Digital Business, 1(2), 64–72. https://doi.org/10.53088/jmdb.v1i2.142
Sartini, L. P. N., & Purbawangsa, I. B. A. (2014). Pengaruh keputusan investasi, kebijakan dividen, serta keputusan pendanaan terhadap nilai perusahaan manufaktur di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Manajemen, Strategi Bisnis Dan Kewirausahaan, 8(2), 81–90.
Shabbir, M. S., & Muhammad, I. (2019). The dynamic impact of foreign portfolio investment on stock prices in Pakistan. Transnational Corporations Review, 11(2), 166–178. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2019.1616508
Solihin, I., Sugiarto, S., Ugut, G. S. S., & Hulu, E. (2022). LQ45 Stock Index Abnormal Return Reaction to the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Even Study Methodology. Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (Iijse), 5(1), 342–355. https://doi.org/10.31538/iijse.v5i1.2051
Sulistiono, S., & Yusna, Y. (2020). Analysis of the Effect of Funding Decision and Dividend Policy on the Firm Value and Investment Decision as Mediation (Study on Manufacturing Companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange). In Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, Volume 136: 1st Annual Management, Business and Economic Conference (AMBEC 2019) (pp. 173-177). Atlantis Press. https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200312.031
Syukur, A., & Istiawan, D. (2021). Prediction of LQ45 Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange: A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Techniques. International Journal of Intelligent Engineering and Systems, 14(1), 453–463. https://doi.org/10.22266/ijies2021.0228.42
Tran, Q. T. (2024). Dividend Policy and Stock Price. In Dividend Policy (pp. 99–112). Emerald Publishing Limited. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-83797-987-520241010
Wahyudi, H. D., Chuzaimah, C., & Sugiarti, D. (2016). Pengaruh ukuran perusahaan, profitabilitas, kebijakan deviden, dan keputusan investasi terhadap nilai perusahaan (Studi penggunaan indeks LQ-45 Periode 2010-2014). Benefit: Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis (Jurnal Ini Sudah Migrasi), 1(2), 156–164.
Wardani, D. P. (2021). Pengaruh Struktur Aktiva, Pertumbuhan, Danprofitabilitas Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Indekslq45. Jurnal Aktual Akuntansi Keuangan Bisnis Terapan (Akunbisnis), 4(2), 119. https://doi.org/10.32497/akunbisnis.v4i2.3112
Warouw, V., Pangkey, R., & Fajar, N. (2022). Pengaruh Kebijakan Dividen Dan Keputusan Investasi Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Yang Tergabung Dalam Indeks LQ45 Di BEI Periode 2016-2018: Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2016-2018. Jurnal Akuntansi Manado (JAIM), 137–148.
Wicaksono, H., & Muchtar, S. (2024). The Effect of Dividend Policy and Environmental Social Governance on Company Performance with Moderation of Good Corporate Governance in IDX LQ45 Companies. Neraca Keuangan : Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 19(2 SE-Articles), 182–192. https://doi.org/10.32832/neraca.v19i2.17194
Widyadhana, Z. N., Isnurhadi, I., Widiyanti, M., & Adam, M. (2022). The Effect of Sales Growth, Earning Per Share, Total Assets Turn Over, Return on Equity, and Debt to Equity on Stock Prices During the COVID-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, 5(3), 211–216.
Wufron, W., Parwati, N. S. S., Hamdani, N. A., & Utami, W. S. (2023). Dividend Policy: Analyzed from Stock Prices and Firm Size in Indonesia’s Manufacturing Sector. KnE Social Sciences, 520–531.
Wuryanti, L. (2022). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi, Keputusan Pendanaan, Kinerja Keuangan, Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Dan Dividen Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Tahun 2016-2018. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Dan Manajemen Malahayati (JRAMM), 11(4).
Yantiana, N., & Wintami, N. E. (2022). The Effect of Ownership Structure on Firm Value Through Financial Performance as Intervening During Covid-19 (Evidence From LQ45 Index Indonesia). International Journal of Economics Business and Management Research, 06(02), 65–81. https://doi.org/10.51505/ijebmr.2022.6205
Zhang, Y. (2024). The Impact of Stock Price Fluctuations on the Financial Market. Highlights in Business, Economics and Management, 39, 638–643. https://doi.org/10.54097/rcy13226




